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☆ Ukraine's facing a perfect storm of problems, and a vote in Congress could make or break its war with Russia
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

The House is expected to soon vote on a long-awaited aid package including support for Ukraine and Israel. If the stalled aid package is approved, it remains to seen how the rollout of aid will go. Wojciech Grzedzinski/Anadolu via Getty ImagesWhile US lawmakers have spent months debating Ukraine aid, Russia has been given a golden opportunity. As the Russian war machine fires up, the army is putting pressure on Ukraine's defenses, seeing where it can potentially break through and seize territory. AdvertisementJohnson's planned foreign aid package comes in at a similar cost and includes about $61 billion for Ukraine.

Persons: —, Frederick Kagan, Kostiantyn, It's, Kagan, GENYA SAVILOV, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine's, Mick Ryan, 2S3, Wojciech Grzedzinski, it's, Franz, Stefan Gady, Gady, Ryan, Mike Johnson, Republican opposers, Johnson, Johnson's, Scott Peterson, Jose Colon, William Burns, Zelenskyy, Vladimir Putin, Lev Radin Organizations: Service, Washington DC, American Enterprise Institute, Business, Armed Forces, Getty Images, Australian Army, Ukrainian 63rd Brigade, Getty, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Russian, Ukraine, NATO, Archer Artillery, Roman, Republican, Democrats, Republicans, Pentagon, Anadolu, CIA, Russia, UNITED STATES, Pacific Press, Ukrainian Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Russia, Washington, Chernigiv, AFP, Getty Images Ukraine, Russian, Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, Anadolu, Europe, Taiwan, Ukrainian, Kharkiv, Izyum, China, North Korea, Poland, American

☆ Ukraine ‘will lose the war’ if US aid not approved, says Zelensky
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Christian Edwards | Maria Kostenko | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Ukraine “will lose the war” if the United States Congress does not approve military aid to help it resist Russia’s invasion, President Volodymyr Zelensky said. “It’s important to specifically address the Congress: if the Congress doesn’t help Ukraine, Ukraine will lose the war,” Zelensky said Sunday during a video meeting of the Ukrainian fund-raising group UNITED24. “If Ukraine loses this war, other countries will be attacked. Zelensky previously told CNN that “millions” could die in Ukraine’s war with Russia if US lawmakers do not approve the aid package. There’s certain weapons systems, certain logistical support which the European countries simply cannot provide to Ukraine” such as air defense systems, he said.

Persons: Ukraine “, Volodymyr Zelensky, “, ” Zelensky, ”, Mike Johnson, Zelensky, Ukraine’s, Russia –, –, Anton Shtuka, Franz, Stefan Gady, Gady, UNITED24 ’ Organizations: CNN, United States Congress, Senate, Getty, International Institute for Strategic Studies Locations: Ukraine, “, Kyiv, Russia, Israel, Moscow, Avdiivka, Kharkiv, AFP, ”, Washington, Ukrainian

☆ Ukraine says it has pushed Russian forces back up to 5 miles from the banks of Dnipro river, in first possible counteroffensive success
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-19 | by ( Alia Shoaib | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russian and Ukrainian foces have been battling on the banks of the Dnipro river. A Ukrainian official said Russian forces had been pushed back around 3 to 5 miles. AdvertisementUkraine said it had pushed Russian forces back three to eight kilometers, or around 3 to 5 miles, from the banks of the Dnipro river, which, if confirmed, would be a major breakthrough in Ukraine's lagging counteroffensive. Ukrainian and Russian forces have been positioned on opposite sides of the river in Kherson after Russia retreated from the region's western part last year. "We need to be realistic about what can be achieved here," Franz-Stefan Gady, a military analyst who recently visited the front lines in Ukraine, told the WSJ.

Persons: —, Natalia Gumenyuk, Gumenyuk, Vladimir Saldo, Oleksandr Kovalenko, Franz, Stefan Gady Organizations: Russian, Service, AFP, Reuters, Wall Street Journal Locations: Ukrainian, Dnipro, Ukraine, Russian, Kherson, Russia, Moscow

☆ Ukraine counteroffensive: Winter is coming to Ukraine, but Kyiv is adapting its tactics
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-01 | by ( Tim Lister | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

And Kyiv has dramatically increased long-range missile and drone attacks against Russian military hubs: command centers, fuel and ammunition supplies, transport hubs. There is anecdotal evidence of this from other sources, but not to the degree that the Russian military machine would be damaged. Alexander Ermochenko/ReutersBut just as they seek to degrade Russian air defenses, the Ukrainians have made strides in improving their own. “Our air defense system has become even more comprehensive and experienced … By the winter, it will become even stronger.”Energy production has increased too. Ryan, the former Australian general, says Ukraine’s western partners must recognize and plan for this.

Persons: Franz, Stefan Gady, Michael Kofman, they’ve, It’s, Oleksandr Tarnavsky, ” Tarnavsky, Fred Pleitgen, Tarnavsky, Tony Radakin, Ukraine’s, it’s, WarZone, Gen, Kyrylo Budanov, “, ” Tarnovsky, Oleksandr Ratushniak, ”, Mick Ryan, Futura, Timchenko, Alexander Ermochenko, Denys Shmyhal, Jens Stoltenberg, Antony Blinken, Ryan, outlast, Robert Rose, Sergei Supinsky, Max Boot, ” Boot, Vladimir Putin Organizations: CNN, ”, Russian, Black, Sea Navy, Planet Labs, US Army Tactical Missile, Defense Intelligence, Aviation, Reuters, UK Defense Ministry, Arms Army, CAA, IRIS, Energy, US, Firefighters, Getty, Council for Foreign Relations Locations: Ukraine, Kharkiv, Kherson, Ukrainian, ” Ukraine, Crimea, Sevastopol, Russian, Crimean, Moscow, Russia’s, Australian, Mariupol, Donbas, Europe, United States, AFP, Russia

Ukraine breached Russia's defensive line on Wednesday and was able to deploy vehicles past it. It was a major achievement, but analysts said Russia would respond with a harsh counterattack. It was a major dent in the so-called "Surovikin Line", but there are more layers of defense to go. AdvertisementAdvertisement"This is the first major crack in their defense … of course, the Russians should be worried," he said. An official cited by the state-run RIA Novosti agency said that Ukraine had tried to breach Russia's lines but was forced to retreat.

Persons: Marina Miron, Franz, Stefan Gady, Gady, Michael Kofman, Kofman, — Johan Huovinen Organizations: Service, Ukrainian, Department of, King's College London, Street, Institute for International Strategic Studies, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Swedish Defense University, RIA Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Verbove, Zaporizhzhia

☆ Ukraine trolls Russia for losing an attack submarine to a country that hardly has a navy
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A new video from Ukraine's defense ministry pokes fun at Russia for losing the Rostov-on-Don submarine. The video trolls Russia for losing a submarine "in a land war" to a country "without many warships." The video, posted on X, formerly known as Twitter, by the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, pokes fun at Russia for having "lost a submarine in a land war." "Well, among other things... we're a country without many warships, and we just destroyed a Russian submarine." And, according to warfare expert Franz-Stefan Gady, it's the first combat loss of a Russian submarine since 1945.

Persons: Russia, Don, Franz, Stefan Gady, they'd, — Organizations: Russia, Rostov, Service, Ministry of Defense, —, Moscow, Russia's Ministry of Defense, Russian, Sea Fleet, Moskva, US Army Locations: Rostov, Sevastopol, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Russia, we're, Russian, Minsk, Crimea, Olekivka, Yevpatoriya

☆ Former generals weigh in on how much say the US should have in Ukraine's counteroffensive as Kyiv's frustration with critics boils over
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-02 | by ( Ryan Pickrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Ukraine has blamed a lack of equipment and tough defenses while some in the West have put the blame on Kyiv's forces. "Everyone is now an expert on how we should fight," Ukraine's defense ministry said on social media Thursday. He wrote that the general is "extremely talented," but "he has never before" coordinated the kind of operations Ukraine is executing now. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US has reiterated that it will continue to support Ukraine's war effort, even as the counteroffensive is expected to potentially last for at least a couple more months and the conflict possibly for years. In a recent conversation with Insider about Ukrainian operations, Hodges said that the Ukrainians "have recognized that they have to adapt, which is what they're doing."

Persons: Dmytro Kuleba, it's, —, Jose Colon, Jack Keane, Keane, Metz, Michael O'Hanlon, George S, O'Hanlon, Hertling, Valery Zaluzhny, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Mick Ryan, Michael Kofman, Franz, Stefan Gady, Ben Hodges, David Petraeus, Mark Milley, Milley, Petraeus, Frederick Kagan, Hodges, Kyiv's, Ryan Organizations: Service, —, PKP, Ukrainian Army, Anadolu Agency, Getty, US Army, Institute for, Street, Patton's Third Army, NATO, intel, Army, Foreign Affairs, US Central Command, CNN, Joint Chiefs, Staff, The Washington Post, American Enterprise Institute, Russia, Nazis Locations: Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Kyiv, Europe, Chasiv Yar, Russia, Donetsk Oblast, America, Ukrainian, France, Metz, Vietnam, Korea, US Army Europe, Australian, American, Singapore, Japan, United States, Philippines

☆ What Ukraine must do to win in its southern push – and what Russia has in reserve
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-29 | by ( Tim Lister | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

There’s simply no systematic pulling apart of the Russian defensive system that I could observe,” Gady tweeted. “Weakening Russian defenses to a degree that enables maneuver,” which will include the use of cluster munitions, is a critical task in the weeks ahead. It is far too early to tell whether the Ukrainian counteroffensive has entered a more dynamic phase. The Kremlin has seized upon the slow progress of the Ukrainian counter-offensive: a rare opportunity to go beyond damage limitation. “Russian defensive lines are not all contiguous or uniformly suited for strong defence.

Persons: Bradley, There’s, George Barros, –, “, ”, Barros, Franz, Stefan Gady, ” Gady, “ It’s, Kostyantyn, ” “, Stringer, Mick Ryan, Gerasimov, Vladimir Putin, Ivan Popov, Gady Organizations: CNN, Institute for, “, Legion, RFE, Radio Liberty, Reuters, Ukrainian Armed Forces, Army, Russian Defense Ministry Locations: Washington, Ukrainian, Mines, Europe, Russian, Ukraine, Orikhiv, Novodarivka, Zaporizhzhia Region, Australian, Kreminna, Kiev, ”, Zaporizhzhia, Donbas

☆ Ukraine had to execute its offensive 'flawlessly' to break Russia's defenses, but mistakes cost it in the opening round, war experts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Ryan Pickrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Ukraine's opening move in the counteroffensive was unsuccessful, experts just back from a trip there assert. Part of the problem is that it relied on newer, less experienced units that made mistakes at a critical moment. That does not "mean that the offensive has failed," he said, adding important context to his assessment of the first round. And that assessment is supported by Lee's account of Ukrainian assault forces advancing against Russian defenses without suppressing artillery fire. Combined arms warfare is not something most countries do effectively, and Ukraine lacks both equipment and experience with this kind of fighting.

Persons: Rob Lee, Lee, Dmytro Smolienko, Michael Kofman, Franz, Stefan Gady Organizations: Service, Foreign Policy Research Institute, NATO, Publishing, Getty, Artillery, Center for Naval, Center for New American Security Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Russia built fake trenches along the front lines to lure Ukrainian soldiers into deadly explosive traps, researchers found
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Ryan Pickrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Among them are fake trenches designed to lure Ukrainians into a death trap, researchers found on a recent Ukraine trip. And while many of the trenches are actual Russian combat positions, others have been traps, researchers learned from front-line Ukrainian forces. They have mine trenches," Kofman said, explaining that they attempt to "lure Ukrainian forces into trenches that have been mined" with remote-activated mines "and then blow up the mines." The possibility that the trench Ukrainian infantry are rushing into might be an explosive trap makes things immensely more difficult. Hendrickson said they have come across extremely complex minefields in which anti-tank mines are protected by anti-personnel mines and other explosives surrounded by booby traps.

Persons: we've, Michael Kofman, Kofman, Laurent van der, Ryan Hendrickson, Hendrickson, Franz, Stefan Gady Organizations: Service, Center for Naval, 81st Airmobile Battalion, Le Monde, US Army Special Forces Engineer, Toronto Television, Paratroopers, Center for New American Security, Ukrainian Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Wall, Silicon, Seversk, Russian, Afghanistan

☆ Ukraine can't advance with tanks alone and is coming up short on what it really needs to break Russia's defenses
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Ryan Pickrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Mines are a big problem for Ukraine's forces, but that's not all there is to it, one warfare expert said. As one expert told Insider previously, Leopards are very capable tanks, but no one should expect a "silver bullet." These systems are effective, but Ukraine's forces needs more of this kind of capability, the top general said. "Lack of a comprehensive combined arms approach at scale makes Ukrainian forces more vulnerable to Russian ATGMs, artillery etc. Ed Ram/For The Washington Post via Getty ImagesUnable to carry out those kinds of complex warfare, Ukraine may find itself stuck in an attritional artillery fight with Russia.

Persons: that's, it's, Valery Zaluzhny, ErtÃ ¼, Zaluzhny, Franz, Stefan Gady, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Gady, Ed Ram, It's Organizations: Service, Bradley, Leopards, Washington Post, New York Times, 35th Marine Brigade, ErtÃ ¼ rk, Anadolu Agency, Getty Images Ukraine, Post, Center for New American Security, NATO, 57th Brigade, Getty, Washington, Western Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, There's, Donetsk, ErtÃ, Kyiv, Donetsk oblast, Russian, Dnipropetrovsk region, Russia

☆ Shocking images show the wreckage of a Russian Il-22 airborne command plane shot down during the Wagner revolt
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Shocking images and videos show a destroyed Russian Il-22 command plane. Wagner Group forces are said to have shot down the plane during their revolt, killing the crew. Prigozhin said he regrets destroying Russian aircraft, but he argued they were attacking Wagner forces. The Ilyushin Il-22M aircraft — a valuable airborne command post operated by Russia's air force — was apparently shot down by Wagner Group forces during their revolt against Russian military leadership. Along with the Il-22 aircraft, Wagner shot down six Russian helicopters, killing 13 pilots in total, according to Ukraine, as well as expert observers, like Michael Kofman, the director of Russia Studies at CNA.

Persons: Prigozhin, Wagner, —, Russia's, Franz, Stefan Gady, OSINTdefender, Michael Kofman, Prigozhin — Organizations: Wagner Group, Service, Ilyushin, Russian, Center for Naval, Defense, Russian ] Aerospace Forces, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Russia Studies, CNA Locations: Russian, Ukraine

☆ Ukraine could launch its offensive against Russia any moment now. Here's what's waiting
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-29 | by ( Tim Lister | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

The defenses continue for hundreds of miles across the meandering southern front – where Ukrainian forces are expected to concentrate their counter-offensive in the coming weeks. This area will be critical should Ukrainian forces try to advance towards the city of Melitopol and split Russian forces in the south. It’s unclear where the equipment went but likely that it was sent north to reinforce Russian defensive lines. Russian-appointed officials in Zaporizhzhia claim there is already a large build-up of Ukrainian forces in the area. Ukrainian officials do not disclose the movement of units.

☆ Hundreds of armored vehicles are now heading to Ukraine to help fight off a looming Russian 'onslaught,' US officials say
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( Christopher Woody | Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The US, UK, and Germany have agreed to provide their tanks to Ukraine, as have some other countries. Those tanks now join hundreds of other armored vehicles delivered or promised to Kyiv. The 31 Abrams tanks the US will send to Ukraine likely won't arrive for months or longer, but the US and European countries have already committed to sending Ukraine several different types of armored vehicles. (On Wednesday, US officials said M88 recovery vehicles would be delivered with the Abrams tanks.) The US and Germany have agreed to send M1 Abrams and Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine.

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